Here's my guess on anime cons based on what I've seen over the last 15-20 years plus extrapolating what cons are doing.davemerrill wrote:I think the only segment of the anime fan world that continues to survive and to thrive is the anime convention scene; most anime cons continue to see increased attendance. I've been predicting attendance would level off for something like five or ten years now, so I'm pleased to be wrong, but other than "the things are fun and relatively cheap" I have only murky theories as to why this is.
In the early days (early/mid 90s) anie cons were the analogue of early SciFi cons. They were focused, niche, older and (notably) VERY male. I'm not saying that was "good", merely that it was true. Anime cons hewed very close to the "Trekkie"/D&D gamer stereotype of college-aged male nerds who live with their parents. The pivotal moment came mid/late 90s, when Sailor Moon came out. This was important (moreso than DBZ IMO) because it drew FEMALES into the fandom. Suddenly you had an influx of girls/women and for a short period anime was still a nerdy hobby, but more "acceptable". Con demographics went from 90/10 to more like 60/40.
And then it all went wrong, much like "ladies night" at the club, guys (read: not anime fans) realized that women were attending conventions. And what's more, they were often cosplaying in order to draw attention to themselves. And thus began the influx of DUDES (by which I mean, guys who didn't really give a rip about anime, but were heterosexual males ok with any opportunity to meet women). This is how anime cons began the gradual transition from "anime-focused" to "whatever gets butts in the door".
Now don't get me wrong, cons bear a lot of blame for this. ACML still has discussions about how anime cons need to "adapt" or they'll die out. But the problem is that "adapt" seems to be "market to whoever pays the most" rather than "convert people into anime fans". Anime cons have (continued) followed the SciFi con model in that "CreationCon" kind of direction. Sadly, many American anime voice actors now charge "appearance fees", cons have already been adding "tiers". I can only assume the only thing keeping attendance from trailing off is that teenagers are willing to shell out mom&dad's money for a party away from the parents and the parents are ok paying the money for a weekend of cheap "babysitting".