TSOJ wrote:
This is a key point. I was talking to Tiffany Grant at Project A-kon about 5-6 years ago, and she was absolutely deflated over the lack of voice-over work for dubbed anime. Basically, people just weren't buying, and she couldn't see how the industry could change that. And I think that a lot of the problem is as you say - the economy isn't picking up for the people that want to buy stuff, anime or not. Another issue, though, is that the real draws - Naruto, One Piece, Bleach - don't buoy up anything else. Pokemon may still be popular, but that's the only direction money is going - into Pokemon. Naruto, Bleach and One Piece only bring money into Viz. The fandom is too shallow and single-minded. It's not that these are anime fans, wanting to try other new things but not having the money for it. These are Naruto or Pokemon fans that don't care about anime. I agree with you, anime was the canary in the coalmine, but it was never a very health canary to begin with.
Well, if you're counting on a niche fandom to support your career, then you're probably going to fail. Unless you really like your day job. The money has never been in the animation itself, it's been in the ancillary merchandising, and when you take a TV show that ran on-air in Japan and generated advertising and toy revenue, and then put it on DVD in the States without the benefit of a TV broadcast or any advertising to speak of, your sell-through is going to be teeny tiny. Your profits are going to be teeny tiny. The Japanese licensors are going to be amazed that their amazingly popular property didn't do better (see: City Hunter, Fist Of The North Star) and eventually are going to take their ball and go home (Bandai).
That's one of the dirty little secrets of the "anime industry" - there isn't one. In the States most of the voice actors had day jobs - even the "stars" - they would be speaking to convention ballroom full of fans on Sunday and on Monday they are back at work. Half the localizers are out of business, the print magazines have all gone away except for OUSA, the 'anime' section in Blockbuster is gone, Suncoast is gone (talk about a canary in a coal mine). In Japan the industry was and still is dependent upon a tremendously underpaid workforce-
http://altjapan.typepad.com/my_weblog/2 ... wling.html - and is dealing with, again, a mindset that believes DVDs can be sold for astronomical sums to die hard collectors, not to the masses at Wal-mart.
Put this in the context of the economic slump AND a technological revolution that gave most people the ability to download or stream whatever they wanted to watch, and you have an "industry" that isn't going to be around for very long.
I think the only segment of the anime fan world that continues to survive and to thrive is the anime convention scene; most anime cons continue to see increased attendance. I've been predicting attendance would level off for something like five or ten years now, so I'm pleased to be wrong, but other than "the things are fun and relatively cheap" I have only murky theories as to why this is.